Estimates of 80% of asymptomatic infection maybe too high—data says it’s 17% | Beckman Coulter

Data suggests an asymptomatic infection rate of 17%
rather than the estimated 80%

Estimating-Asymptomatic-COVID

In a study that synthesized research on asymptomatic cases and transmission rates screened 2,454 articles and included 13 low risk-of-bias studies from seven countries that tested 21,708 at-risk people. Diagnoses in all studies was confirmed using a real-time reverse transcriptase–polymerase chain reaction test.

The study concluded:
• The relative risk of asymptomatic transmission was 42% lower than that for symptomatic transmission
• The 1 in 6 estimate of the prevalence of asymptomatic COVID-19 cases and asymptomatic transmission rates is lower than those of many previously publicized studies
• Further robust epidemiological evidence is urgently needed, including in subpopulations such as children, to better understand how asymptomatic cases contribute to the pandemic



At a Glance

17 %
The rate of asymptomatic COVID-19 presentation is ~17%
42 %
Relative risk of asymptomatic transmission is 42% lower than for symptomatic
80 %
Earlier estimates that 80% of infections are asymptomatic were too high